Producing and analyzing potential future scenarios: A case study with medical supplies
Emergency situations are unpredictable and happen in many ways around the world. Natural disasters or similar events of major proportions require governmental intervention. In order to do so, the public administration must keep resources ready to attend these events. In this work, we propose a framework to analyze economic factor that may influence the government supply chain. We evaluate the proposed framework, analyzing medical supplies in the Brazilian Navy, focusing in the surgical gloves — a representative supply. In our analysis we found out that Price Registration bids tend to be the most effective policy in economic crisis scenarios.
